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Poland’s local elections test Tusk’s new government after four months in power

Voters across Poland are casting ballots in local elections in the first electoral test for the coalition government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk nearly four months since it took power (Czarek Sokolowski/AP)
Voters across Poland are casting ballots in local elections in the first electoral test for the coalition government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk nearly four months since it took power (Czarek Sokolowski/AP)

Voters across Poland are casting ballots in local elections on Sunday in the first electoral test for the coalition government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk nearly four months since it took power.

Voters will elect mayors as well as members of municipal councils and provincial assemblies, an important exercise in self-governance that is one of the great achievements of the democratic transformation Poland made when it threw off communism 35 years ago.

In all there are nearly 190,000 registered candidates running for local government positions in the central European nation of 38 million people.

Run-off votes will take place two weeks later, on April 21, in cases where mayoral candidates do not win at least 50% of the vote in Sunday’s first round.

Poland Local Elections
Campaigners with flyers walk past electoral posters of candidates in the forthcoming local elections in Kazun Polski, near Warsaw (Czarek Sokolowski/AP)

Opinion polls released in the days ahead of the vote showed the two largest political formations running neck-and-neck: Mr Tusk’s Civic Coalition, an electoral coalition led by his centrist and pro-European Union Civic Platform party, and Law and Justice, a national conservative party that governed the country from 2015 until last year.

Several other groups trail the two main groups, including the Third Way coalition, the Left and the radical right-wing Confederation party.

Mr Tusk’s coalition government, which includes the Third Way and the Left, together won the national election in October.

The result, amid record turnout, spelled the end of eight bumpy years of rule by Law and Justice, which was accused by the European Union of violating democratic standards with its changes to the judicial system and public media.

Mr Tusk won on promises to reverse many of those changes and is trying to implement that programme, but it is not easy. His attempts to restore independence to the judicial system are a long process that will require the passage of new legislation.

And a promise to liberalise the strict abortion law is being hampered by conservatives in Mr Tusk’s own coalition.

The vote is also a test for Law and Justice, which had a string of electoral victories and dominated the political scene for years, enjoying strong support in conservative rural areas. However, its hardline policies on LGBTQ+ and its restriction of abortion rights were rejected by many of the young and female voters who turned out in the autumn to vote.

Poland Local Elections
The nationwide polls for city mayors, provincial governors, local council members and other local officials are expected to be a test of support for Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s coalition (Czarek Sokolowski/AP)

Local governments have played an important role in the two major crises of recent years, rolling out vaccinations against Covid-19 and helping the huge numbers of Ukrainian refugees who arrived in the country after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Among those running is Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, a Tusk ally who is seeking a second term. He is favourite to win, but it is not clear if he could win outright on Sunday or will need to face a run-off in two weeks’ time.

The outgoing term of office for local officials was the longest since 1989 after Law and Justice extended it from four to five years, and then delayed the elections by half a year, worried that holding local elections along with those to the national parliament would hurt its chances.