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Market jitters after surge in support for Yes

Better Together leader Alistair Darling campaigning in Edinburgh.
Better Together leader Alistair Darling campaigning in Edinburgh.

Billions of pounds were wiped off Scottish companies on Monday as support surged for independence.

The market jitters drove the FTSE 100 Index more than 1% lower as investors worried about the impact that a Yes vote will have on economic stability and the operations of banks and other companies with bases in Scotland. It is estimated around £2.5 billion fell from firms north of the border.

Sterling fell by around 1.3% against the US dollar to a 10-month low of 1.61, leaving it around 6% lower than its peak of 1.72 earlier this summer.

Shares in Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group were down 3% on the possibility that a Yes vote will force them south of the border.

Edinburgh-based Standard Life, which has been located in Scotland for 189 years, recently complained that it was still in the dark over the “material issues” surrounding independence. Its shares were 4% lower yesterday.

Outside the financial sector, Perth energy supply and production firm SSE was down 2%, as was Glasgow pumps and valves specialist Weir.

Babcock International, which carries out Royal Navy work at its Rosyth Dockyard, was 5% cheaper, having previously warned that a Yes vote would lead to “additional risk and uncertainty” for the business.

Michael Hewson, an analyst at CMC Markets, said: “For quite some time investors had dismissed the prospect of a Yes vote as an outlier, but recent opinion polls have shifted that perception and this has been no better demonstrated than by the plunge in sterling today.”

He added: “One thing is certain, if we get this sort of volatility on the prospect of a Yes vote, can you imagine the reaction if we do get a Yes vote? It’s not likely to be pretty.”

The market jitters came as a Nobel prize-winning economist warned Scots to “be very afraid” of independence.

Keeping the pound without a political union with Westminster would be a “recipe for disaster”, Paul Krugman wrote in the New York Times.

Prof Krugman said: “Polling suggests that support for independence has surged over the past few months, largely because pro-independence campaigners have managed to reduce the ‘fear factor’ that is, concern about the economic risks of going it alone. At this point the outcome looks like a toss-up.

“Well, I have a message for the Scots: Be afraid, be very afraid. The risks of going it alone are huge.”

A Yes Scotland spokesman said: “Scotland undoubtedly has what it takes to be a vibrant, successful nation in which the benefits of our vast resources are shared more fairly.”